Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OSMO prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-13 0.146706 0.156973 0.167715 0.179815 0.193092 0.207245 0.223512
2025-07-20 0.131728 0.147845 0.165813 0.187453 0.212970 0.242308 0.278883
2025-07-27 0.118786 0.138227 0.160981 0.189869 0.225993 0.270245 0.329465
2025-08-03 0.107982 0.129235 0.155078 0.189313 0.234239 0.292310 0.374980
2025-08-10 0.098962 0.121155 0.148993 0.187192 0.239411 0.310119 0.416468
2025-08-17 0.090485 0.112812 0.141532 0.182098 0.239477 0.320309 0.447859
2025-08-24 0.083979 0.106395 0.135883 0.178629 0.241004 0.332164 0.482702
2025-08-31 0.078585 0.100989 0.131055 0.175675 0.242666 0.343969 0.518633
2025-09-07 0.075251 0.098093 0.129367 0.176900 0.250388 0.365556 0.573482
2025-09-14 0.070482 0.092871 0.123995 0.172174 0.248375 0.371197 0.601280
2025-09-21 0.065652 0.087275 0.117715 0.165556 0.242681 0.369989 0.616185
2025-09-28 0.062133 0.083356 0.113624 0.161958 0.241460 0.376069 0.645498
2025-10-05 0.060626 0.082333 0.113835 0.165233 0.252130 0.404519 0.724701
2025-10-12 0.058992 0.081042 0.113578 0.167767 0.261856 0.432671 0.809539
2025-10-19 0.057019 0.079132 0.112244 0.168415 0.268322 0.455549 0.887964
2025-10-26 0.054834 0.076779 0.110066 0.167459 0.271761 0.472925 0.957581
2025-11-02 0.052597 0.074230 0.107422 0.165495 0.273108 0.486193 1.020220
2025-11-09 0.050010 0.071018 0.103542 0.161108 0.269455 0.488596 1.055832
2025-11-16 0.047897 0.068455 0.100583 0.158138 0.268247 0.496027 1.106503
2025-11-23 0.046019 0.066181 0.097978 0.155615 0.267669 0.504718 1.162735
2025-11-30 0.044961 0.065161 0.097381 0.156657 0.274261 0.530274 1.274165
2025-12-07 0.043015 0.062631 0.094138 0.152627 0.270123 0.530478 1.309088
2025-12-14 0.040880 0.059724 0.090140 0.146974 0.262190 0.520834 1.311027